After trailing President Joe Biden by three points in February, former President Donald Trump has taken the lead in a hypothetical 2024 presidential matchup, according to a new survey by Rasmussen Reports.
The new national survey of U.S. likely voters was conducted on March 30 and April 2-3, 2023 by Rasmussen Reports. A grand jury voted to indict Trump on the first day of the survey, March 30, and the former president was arraigned on the day after polling ended, on Tuesday, April 4.
The indictment has been widely viewed as a politically-motivated act and a means of election interference perpetrated by Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg, who campaigned in an overwhelmingly Democrat area on the promise that he would prosecute Trump.
In both of the 2023 national surveys of voters, the latest released Wednesday, Rasmussen asked:
“If the 2024 presidential election were between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, who would you vote for?”
In February, Biden outpolled Trump by three points, 45%-42%.
But now, Trump leads Biden by seven points, 47%-40%.
Among non-Black minorities, support for Biden has fallen 11 points, from 47% to 36%. Additionally, fewer White voters (37%, down from 43%) now say they’d vote for Biden over Trump. Among Black voters, however, 58% say they’d pick Biden, up from 54% two months earlier.
In both surveys, Biden is most popular among the wealthiest voters.
Currently, 59% of those with annual incomes above $200,000 say they’d vote for Biden, while 30% say they’d cast their ballots for Trump.
Conversely, 58% of those making less than $30,000 would vote for Trump, but just 28% would choose Biden.
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